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17 thoughts on “Is Sidney Moncrief a Hall of Famer?

  1. “Moncrief is one of 11 players with exactly five All-Star selections, and currently none of them are in the Hall of Fame.”

    13 players are in the Hall of Fame with exactly five All-Star selections. Moncrief is one of 11 eligible that is not inducted (I assume that’s what you meant). Webber will soon become the 12th eligible. Also, two active players – Billups and Parker- have exactly five All-Star nods.

  2. This is the list of players that have made it to the finalist stage since 1980 (reports are missing for ’83, ’84 and ’85), but failed to get voted into the Hall of Fame:

    North American committee

    Maurice Cheeks 7 (’99, ’02, ’03, ’05, ’11, ’12, ’13)
    Bobby Jones 6 (’97, ’00, ’01, ’02, ’03, ’04)
    Sidney Moncrief 4 (’97, ’98, ’99, ’00)
    Jo Jo White 3 (’97, ’98, ’99)
    Larry Costello 2 (’96, ’98)
    Red Kerr 2 (’91, ’94)
    Larry Foust 2 (’89, ’90)
    Tim Hardaway 1 (’13)
    Spencer Haywood 1 (’13)
    Mitch Richmond 1 (’13)
    Walter Davis 1 (’03)
    Dick Barnett 1 (’96)
    Satch Sanders 1 (’95)
    John Moir 1 (’88)
    Arnie Ferrin 1 (’86)
    Joe Fortenberry 1 (’86)
    Frank Selvy 1 (’82)
    Hazel Walker 1 (’82) – Women’s committee didn’t exist at the time
    Dick Boushka 1 (’81)
    Max Zaslofsky 1 (’80)

    Veterans committee

    John Isaacs 2 (’05, ’06)
    Paul Seymour 1 (’92)

    Women’s committee

    Alline Banks Sprouse 1 (’93)

  3. A few comments:

    A) Win Shares, Offensive or Defensive, Per 48 Minutes or not, do not constitute a reliable metric. For instance, according to Win Shares, Amar’e Stoudemire usually proved more valuable to the Suns than Steve Nash, an absurd conclusion disproved by the ’05-’06 season, when Stoudemire only played 4 games yet Phoenix still advanced to Game Six of the 2006 Western Conference Finals, an even deeper playoff run than the year before.

    B) Likewise, Defensive Rating is not a reliable metric for individual performance, mainly because it makes too much of defensive ‘counting stats’ (namely defensive rebounds, steals, and blocks, especially defensive rebounds) and because it fails to effectively disentangle an individual’s defensive performance from that of his team. Thus a poor or lackluster defender on a great defensive team can look good, especially if he is a good defensive rebounder or comes up with a bunch of steals that fail to properly reflect his defensive value. Conversely, a good defender on a poor defensive team can look poor, especially if his defensive rebounds or steals are more pedestrian.

    C) I’d take Kevin Johnson over Moncrief. First, Johnson’s prime extended for about twice as long, as he averaged 19.8 points, 10.0 assists, and a .497 field goal percentage in the nine seasons where he started the majority of his games (1989-1997). K.J. received the NBA Player of the Month Award over eight years apart, first in February 1989 and again in April 1997. At the start of that period, he was probably the best guard in the NBA aside from a peak phase Michael Jordan and Magic Johnson. At the end of that period, he was probably the best guard in the NBA aside from Jordan.

    Second, in addition to combining excellent scoring volume with excellent scoring efficiency, like Moncrief, K.J. constituted a historic playmaker, whereas Moncrief clearly did not. Thus K.J.’s offensive value was almost necessarily much higher, regardless of Offensive Rating, which seems to get into some problems of misapplying team pace factors to individual performance. Moncrief probably amounted to the better defensive player, but K.J. was a good defensive guard in his own right (at times elite, especially in the 1993 playoffs when the Suns reached the NBA Finals). Awards and accolades also represent an unreliable means of judging defensive ability, much like Gold Gloves in baseball.

    D) All that said, you offer a good case. Moncrief averaged at least 19.8 points for five straight seasons and constituted the leading or second-leading scorer on a number of championship contenders that won over 50 regular season games and that sometimes advanced to the Eastern Conference Finals. Shooting very good percentages from the field and the free throw line while attempting a ton of free throws (much like Kevin Johnson, by the way), Moncrief proved to be a highly efficient scorer with a career .591 True Shooting Percentage. He was a good all-around player, too, and while defensive honors can be dubious, Moncrief is the only guard to receive the Defensive Player of the Year Award multiple times. Indeed, from 1981-1986, Moncrief’s Bucks never ranked lower than third in Defensive Rating (points allowed per 100 possessions).

    The only negative is that his prime lasted only five seasons, and he wasn’t posting historic sets of numbers, either, like Kevin Johnson. Indeed, K.J.’s prime ran for almost twice as long and his statistical sets in the core categories at his position rival those of any point guard in history. K.J.’s peak burned brighter than Moncrief’s, and his prime proved much longer. Therefore, I’d vote for him over Moncrief, but Moncrief deserves far more attention than he has received. Had he played for the Celtics of that era, as Dennis Johnson did, then Moncrief almost assuredly would be in the Hall of Fame, like D. Johnson.

  4. “From 1981-82 to 1985-86 he was the best shooting guard in the NBA, and a case can be made that, other than Larry Bird, there was no player who was clearly better during that time frame.”

    How about Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Moses Malone?

  5. First of all, I congratulate Satch on his recent induction into the “Hall”.
    But, He was primarily a defensive player. I know given the team he was on, he wasn’t called on to score as much.
    But having watched him play and others like Spencer Haywood and Sidney Moncrief, theres no way or reason why these players have been left out.
    It is almost a travesty. Charles Barkley in and Sidney not. Satch in and Spencer not.
    Stop!

  6. Don’t discount the influence his college success had on society at a statewide/regional level. As I wrote below –

    “Moncrief was born in September, 1957, the same month as the Little Rock Central High Crisis, which highlighted the racial tensions boiling underneath the surface of Arkansas society. More than any other Arkansas athlete, he helped alleviate those same tensions.

    Since Arkansas has no major pro team, the Razorbacks essentially serve as both the state’s major pro and college team. As the most high profile star of the Hogs’ late 1970s teams, which won multiple SWC championships and made a Final Four, Moncrief became the first African-American “face” of an Arkansas sports team.

    For the first time, white and black Arkansans embraced and looked up to a black student-athlete. The long-term social significance of such a watershed moment cannot be underestimated, especially considering it happened in a sports-crazed Southern state that had started integrating its high school only a decade before.

    Moncrief’s influence would remain high in Arkansas throughout the 1980s as he became a superstar in the NBA and strengthened his friendships with prominent Arkansans such as then-governor Bill Clinton.”

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    Moncrief was a better all-around player than Mitch Richmond and deserves HOF inclusion

  7. some idiot commented “defensive rating is not sufficient since it does not separate an individual player from team defense” well honestly right now there isnt any metric that completely analyze individual defense so unless we see one then the data on defense will be incomplete, besides i truly believe that defense is more of a team activity which means no matter how tight you are in defending your guy if you bump to screens, double screens of the opposing team then chances are your reaction to challenge your opponent’s shot will be delayed.

    “kj’s numbers rival ay point guard in history” lmao i dont know if i should laugh t this statement ok ill compare kj to stockton by per 48 mins:

    rebounds-edge kj 4.6-4.1
    assist-edge stockton 15.9-12.9
    turnovers-wash same 4.3
    blocks-wash .3
    steals-edge stockton 3.3-2.1
    fouls-edge kj 3.0-4.0
    2pts-edge stockton 54.1-50.4
    3pts-edge stockton 38.4-30.5
    free throws-edge kj 84.1-82.6

    now i’ll compare him to fat lever

    rebounds-edge fat 9.1-4.6
    assist-edge kj 12.9-9.5
    turnovers-edge fat-3-4.3
    blocks- edge fat .4-.3
    steals-edge fat 3.4-2.1
    fouls-edge kj 3.0-3.6
    2pts-edge kj 50.4-45.5
    3pts-edge fat 31-30.5
    free throws edge kj 77.1-84.1

    hmn this is funny historically great point guards? how can he rival the likes of magic if even a guy like fat lever have an advantage on him on numerous categories?

  8. the comparison between kj and sidney is close but i’ll give the edge to sidney since he was a terrific defensive player and he was one of the few players who can impact the game from both ends of the court unlike kj who is only extremely good on the offensive end.

  9. Sidney Moncrief was a great player on a small market team whose career was cut short by injuries. These type of players are routinely omitted from HOF membership in all sports.

    Lacking a decent center in those years, Don Nelson could never get the Bucks into the finals. All he needed to do in thosre years was to beat both the Bird-McHale-Parrish Celtics and the Dr J-Moses 76ers to reach the finals against Magic, Kareem, and the rest of the Lakers.

    I remember Don Nelson saying that not only was Sidney Moncrief the best player he ever coached, he was also the finest human being he had ever known.

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