Using the team ratings found on KenPom.com, I ran 10,000 simulations of this year’s NCAA tournament. A summary of the results of those simulations appears below.

I used the K.I.S.S.* method for these simulations, so I did not make any adjustments for suspended players (e.g., St. John’s and Chris Obekpa), “hot” teams (e.g., Notre Dame), or distance traveled (e.g., Dayton will essentially be playing a home game in the First Four).

* Keep It Simple, Stupid

Continue reading 2015 NCAA Tournament Forecast →

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Using the team ratings found on KenPom.com, I ran 10,000 simulations of this year’s NCAA tournament. A summary of the results of those simulations appears below.

I used the K.I.S.S.* method for these simulations, so I did not make any adjustments for injured players (e.g., Kansas and Joel Embiid), “hot” teams (e.g., Michigan St.), or distance traveled (e.g., Arizona will not have to travel very far in their regional).

* Keep It Simple, Stupid

Continue reading 2014 NCAA Tournament Forecast →

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